Showing posts with label Securities. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Securities. Show all posts

Dividends


Dividends are a company's optional distribution of (typically) cash to stockholders and provide another way to earn money from investing beyond growing the value of one's portfolio.


A dividend is defined as "a sum of money paid regularly (typically quarterly) by a company to its shareholders out of its profits (or reserves)".

A dividend yield is an expression of the dividend amount relative to the company's current share price. You can calculate the current dividend yield for a given year by dividing the total dividend paid for that year or the following year (or any 12 month period) by the current stock price.

Some companies regularly pay out a cash dividend and can make their stock more attractive by doing so. Johnson Controls (JCI) for instance, has managed to pay a quarterly dividend every year since 1887. They paid a total dividend of $1.04 in 2018 and the stock price as of today is $31.21.




There are two ways to calculate a company's current dividend yield: (1) by using what are called "forward dividends" or (2) by using "trailing dividends". Trailing uses the preceeding 12 months while forward uses the expected payouts in the proceeding 12 months. As of today (1/2/2019) using trailing dividends, or to be more clear- in relation to their 2018 total dividend payout"- JCI's dividend yield was:

$1.04 / $31.21

...or 3.3%.


As you can see from the charts above, General Electric and Honeywell have paid out cash dividends consistently for years. But GE has recently clawed back these payouts dramatically. This is probably due to GE's ongoing restructuring and spin-off efforts.

Reference:

https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/jci/dividend-history


Corporate Common Stock, Corporate Notes (Bonds), Treasury Bonds, Municipal Bonds and other Securities

All of these financial instruments are essentially different templates for an agreement on the terms of financing deals.

There is a tendency for bonds and stocks to have an inverse yield (earned interest) relationship

A bond purchase/sale is an agreement between the bondholder (creditor) and the bond issuer (debtor) for the distribution of capital to the debtor which will then be repaid (with interest normally) to the creditor in a certain increment of time (2-yr, 10yr, 30-yr, etc.).

A Treasury bond is issued by the U.S. Treasury and backed by the "U.S. Government's full faith and credit". The same holds for foreign state bonds. Municipal bonds are for state, city and other localities. Government agencies issue bonds as well and these are generally regarded as very safe investments because of the high degree of regulation of the creation and sale of these bonds.

There is more to bond markets than just T-bills

A stock purchase/sale is an agreement to own a portion of a company. So companies with outstanding stock or who decide to offer stock for the first time (IPO or "Initial Public Offering") are turning to John Q. Public for needed financing.

Keep in mind corporate stock is not the same as corporate bonds/notes*

In return for the financing, the stockholder receives dividend payments and the ability to earn a profit by selling the stock if its price rises above the original purchase price. Stocks split the company up into “shares”. As a corporation has no individual owner (by design), corporations make natural stock issuers.

Corporate or Private Common Stock is riskier than government-backed bonds due to higher corporate default rates and being less liquid (less quickly convertible to cash). Unlike bonds which expire, stockholders may choose to hold onto stock indefinitely.

Treasury bonds are safer and tend to offer less return; but over time in the U.S., they have been reliable (no defaults)

Key distinction: Stocks offer an ownership stake in a company, while bonds are akin to loans made to a company.

As seen here patience and a successful company can lead to total returns of over 1500%: https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/28/if-you-put-1000-in-amazon-10-years-ago-heres-what-youd-have-now.html

And imagine if you would have just invested that nest egg money in Netflix back in 2008? 😉




Corporate Note ($5) for The Johnson Company

*Corporate notes are simply corporate bonds; some financial sources assert an ambiguous and inconsistent distinction (that corp bonds have a shorter maturity, that they are issued differently) but essentially, they are the same thing.

Securities Valuation and RFR

Securities Valuation: "The process of determining how much a security is worth. Security valuation is highly subjective, but it is easiest when one is considering the value of tangible assets, level of debt, and other quantifiable data of the company issuing a security."

RFR: "the "Risk-Free Rate" is the rate of return of a hypothetical investment with no risk of financial loss, over a given period of time. Since the risk-free rate can be obtained with no risk, any other investment having some risk will have to have a higher rate of return in order to induce any investors to hold it."

Unlike a typical bond loan that has a set period of payments, stock valuation is difficult to calculate because some of the components that are used to calculate the intrinsic value (or "net present value") are unknown.

The challenges of stock valuation, the NPV formula, and a very basic example:


The general formula for NPV (net present value based on future expected cash flows) is:


...where r is the expected rate of return, Div is the expected dividend and P is stock price.

We can find an accurate valuation if we have sufficient information to project into the future:


You can do the calculations longhand but it is much more efficient to use a calculator to do the math for you. Using a Financial Calculator, you can solve for any of the variables in the NPV equation (find the future value (FV), find the number of payment periods (N), find the expected return (INT), etc.). Here is a link to finding these values with a Texas Instruments TI-84 calculator: http://www.tvmcalcs.com/calculators/ti84/ti84_page3